The dominant trader consensus around 22°C for Tokyo's highest temperature today stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast of a 22°C maximum under persistent cloudy conditions, which limits daytime heating and aligns with early-June climatological norms of 19–26°C. Recent model runs show broad agreement on modest warming potential given the season's typical transition toward the rainy period, though historical averages near 25°C provide context for why traders assign low odds to deviations. Updated surface observations from official stations will finalize resolution, with only substantial unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments likely to shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 10?
22°C 79%
23°C 18%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$92,457 Wol.
$92,457 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
18%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 79%
23°C 18%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$92,457 Wol.
$92,457 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
18%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant trader consensus around 22°C for Tokyo's highest temperature today stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast of a 22°C maximum under persistent cloudy conditions, which limits daytime heating and aligns with early-June climatological norms of 19–26°C. Recent model runs show broad agreement on modest warming potential given the season's typical transition toward the rainy period, though historical averages near 25°C provide context for why traders assign low odds to deviations. Updated surface observations from official stations will finalize resolution, with only substantial unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments likely to shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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