Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on June 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 Wol.
$140,926 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 Wol.
$140,926 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
$359 Wol.
No
9°C
$365 Wol.
No
10°C
$3,050 Wol.
No
11°C
$2,981 Wol.
No
12°C
$2,687 Wol.
No
13°C
$35,877 Wol.
No
14°C
$18,765 Wol.
No
15°C
$11,779 Wol.
No
16°C
$15,481 Wol.
No
17°C
$16,242 Wol.
Yes
18°C or higher
$33,339 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$140,926Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$140,926Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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