Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 12?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Wol.
$14,106 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Wol.
$14,106 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
10°C or below
$857 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,015 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,222 Wol.
No
13°C
$916 Wol.
No
14°C
$552 Wol.
No
15°C
$980 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,850 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,663 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$2,142 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,507 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$401 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,106Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,106Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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