**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 Wol.
$16,978 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 Wol.
$16,978 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
$708 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,029 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,527 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,125 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,998 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,209 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$1,676 Wol.
No
21°C
$567 Wol.
No
22°C
$799 Wol.
No
23°C
$838 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$502 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,978Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,978Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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