Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on June 10 amid mainly cloudy conditions, moderate rainfall, and showers that suppressed overnight radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited temperature drops below typical June nocturnal levels near 26–27°C, aligning with seasonal norms and short-range model consensus. This data anchors the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 25°C outcome. Minor revisions to station readings or boundary definitions could theoretically shift the result, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$49,580 Wol.
$49,580 Wol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$49,580 Wol.
$49,580 Wol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on June 10 amid mainly cloudy conditions, moderate rainfall, and showers that suppressed overnight radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited temperature drops below typical June nocturnal levels near 26–27°C, aligning with seasonal norms and short-range model consensus. This data anchors the market-implied odds at near-certainty for the 25°C outcome. Minor revisions to station readings or boundary definitions could theoretically shift the result, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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