**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 20?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 20?
26°C 41%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
NOWE
$14,880 Wol.
NOWE
$14,880 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
41%
27°C
40%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
NOWE
$14,880 Wol.
NOWE
$14,880 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
20°C or below
$1,923 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,392 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,201 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$932 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,579 Wol.
1%
25°C
$682 Wol.
11%
26°C
$726 Wol.
41%
27°C
$1,814 Wol.
40%
28°C
$1,175 Wol.
8%
29°C
$1,088 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$368 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,880Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,880Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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