Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 3?
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 16%
33°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 16%
33°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$400 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
2%
30°C
$60 Wol.
2%
31°C
$86 Wol.
2%
32°C
$0 Wol.
4%
33°C
$0 Wol.
9%
34°C
$1,810 Wol.
28%
35°C
$107 Wol.
36%
36°C
$190 Wol.
16%
37°C or higher
$77 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,740Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,740Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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