Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on July 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 21?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 Wol.
$53,754 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 Wol.
$53,754 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
29°C or below
$405 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$291 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,533 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$6,711 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$3,439 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$13,593 Wol.
100%
35°C
$8,242 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$7,642 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$6,408 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$3,579 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,911 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,754Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,754Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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