Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 14?
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
NOWE
$14,240 Wol.
NOWE
$14,240 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
38%
32°C
55%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
NOWE
$14,240 Wol.
NOWE
$14,240 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
$412 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$477 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,927 Wol.
1%
31°C
$2,797 Wol.
38%
32°C
$3,930 Wol.
55%
33°C
$1,746 Wol.
9%
34°C
$1,479 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$721 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$203 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,240Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,240Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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