Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield stems primarily from elevated term premiums amid persistent fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, heavy supply, and inflation concerns tied to geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices. As of September 3, 2026, the yield closed near 5.25%, within striking distance of its 2026 high above 5.31% and the highest levels since 2007. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September rate hike before recent comments from Governor Waller eased those bets. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report and the mid-month FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and labor data could shift real yields and the inflation compensation component embedded in longer-dated Treasuries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
5.60%
38%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
50%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
51%
5.33%
52%
5.30%
64%
$0.00 Wol.
5.60%
$0 Wol.
38%
5.55%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.50%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.45%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.42%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.39%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.36%
$0 Wol.
51%
5.33%
$0 Wol.
52%
5.30%
$0 Wol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield stems primarily from elevated term premiums amid persistent fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, heavy supply, and inflation concerns tied to geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices. As of September 3, 2026, the yield closed near 5.25%, within striking distance of its 2026 high above 5.31% and the highest levels since 2007. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September rate hike before recent comments from Governor Waller eased those bets. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report and the mid-month FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and labor data could shift real yields and the inflation compensation component embedded in longer-dated Treasuries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield stems primarily from elevated term premiums amid persistent fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, heavy supply, and inflation concerns tied to geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices. As of September 3, 2026, the yield closed near 5.25%, within striking distance of its 2026 high above 5.31% and the highest levels since 2007. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September rate hike before recent comments from Governor Waller eased those bets. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report and the mid-month FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and labor data could shift real yields and the inflation compensation component embedded in longer-dated Treasuries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on the 30-year Treasury yield stems primarily from elevated term premiums amid persistent fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, heavy supply, and inflation concerns tied to geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices. As of September 3, 2026, the yield closed near 5.25%, within striking distance of its 2026 high above 5.31% and the highest levels since 2007. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, with markets pricing roughly even odds of a September rate hike before recent comments from Governor Waller eased those bets. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report and the mid-month FOMC meeting, where fresh inflation and labor data could shift real yields and the inflation compensation component embedded in longer-dated Treasuries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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