IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged facilities and prompted temporary inspector withdrawal. Iran has granted selective inspections only at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while withholding declarations, reports, and entry to bombed enrichment plants and the Isfahan tunnel complex storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum commits to resumed IAEA verification under the NPT safeguards agreement, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that visits to nuclear material facilities will occur once modalities are finalized. Iran has conditioned fuller access on progress toward a final accord, creating uncertainty around near-term inspections of the three targeted sites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$348,717 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
15%
December 31
22%
$348,717 Wol.
August 31
$52,844 Wol.
1%
October 31
$77,203 Wol.
15%
December 31
$25,347 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged facilities and prompted temporary inspector withdrawal. Iran has granted selective inspections only at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while withholding declarations, reports, and entry to bombed enrichment plants and the Isfahan tunnel complex storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum commits to resumed IAEA verification under the NPT safeguards agreement, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that visits to nuclear material facilities will occur once modalities are finalized. Iran has conditioned fuller access on progress toward a final accord, creating uncertainty around near-term inspections of the three targeted sites.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$348,717Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged facilities and prompted temporary inspector withdrawal. Iran has granted selective inspections only at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while withholding declarations, reports, and entry to bombed enrichment plants and the Isfahan tunnel complex storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum commits to resumed IAEA verification under the NPT safeguards agreement, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that visits to nuclear material facilities will occur once modalities are finalized. Iran has conditioned fuller access on progress toward a final accord, creating uncertainty around near-term inspections of the three targeted sites.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$348,717Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged facilities and prompted temporary inspector withdrawal. Iran has granted selective inspections only at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while withholding declarations, reports, and entry to bombed enrichment plants and the Isfahan tunnel complex storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum commits to resumed IAEA verification under the NPT safeguards agreement, with Director General Rafael Grossi stating that visits to nuclear material facilities will occur once modalities are finalized. Iran has conditioned fuller access on progress toward a final accord, creating uncertainty around near-term inspections of the three targeted sites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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