Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s 1st congressional district primary with 78 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Kaylee Peterson and independents. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Fulcher’s established incumbency since 2019, superior fundraising, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest. A significant late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,155 Wol.
$48,155 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$48,155 Wol.
$48,155 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$32,526 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,629 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s 1st congressional district primary with 78 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Kaylee Peterson and independents. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Fulcher’s established incumbency since 2019, superior fundraising, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest. A significant late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,155Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s 1st congressional district primary with 78 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Kaylee Peterson and independents. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Fulcher’s established incumbency since 2019, superior fundraising, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest. A significant late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$48,155Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party nomination in Idaho’s 1st congressional district primary with 78 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Kaylee Peterson and independents. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.8 percent. Fulcher’s established incumbency since 2019, superior fundraising, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest. A significant late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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