Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering an expedited succession process under the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was formally selected as his successor in early March, marking the first dynastic transition in the Islamic Republic’s history and shifting power toward a narrower circle of IRGC commanders and hardline figures, including Ahmad Vahidi. The regime survived subsequent military exchanges and has since focused on consolidating control, managing economic pressures from sanctions, and negotiating access and fees through the Strait of Hormuz. Recent August 2026 developments center on stalled diplomacy, additional U.S. sanctions, and Iranian demands for concessions, which traders monitor for signals of internal factional strain or further elite turnover before any market resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$23,400,092 Wol.
Jun 30, 2027
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
3%
September 30
7%
October 31
11%
November 30
14%
31 grudnia
19%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,400,092 Wol.
August 15
$52,933 Wol.
<1%
August 22
$22,602 Wol.
1%
August 31
$1,130,238 Wol.
3%
September 30
$434,332 Wol.
7%
October 31
$7,555 Wol.
11%
November 30
$8,923 Wol.
14%
31 grudnia
$3,967,693 Wol.
19%
June 30, 2027
$232,362 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering an expedited succession process under the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was formally selected as his successor in early March, marking the first dynastic transition in the Islamic Republic’s history and shifting power toward a narrower circle of IRGC commanders and hardline figures, including Ahmad Vahidi. The regime survived subsequent military exchanges and has since focused on consolidating control, managing economic pressures from sanctions, and negotiating access and fees through the Strait of Hormuz. Recent August 2026 developments center on stalled diplomacy, additional U.S. sanctions, and Iranian demands for concessions, which traders monitor for signals of internal factional strain or further elite turnover before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,400,092Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering an expedited succession process under the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was formally selected as his successor in early March, marking the first dynastic transition in the Islamic Republic’s history and shifting power toward a narrower circle of IRGC commanders and hardline figures, including Ahmad Vahidi. The regime survived subsequent military exchanges and has since focused on consolidating control, managing economic pressures from sanctions, and negotiating access and fees through the Strait of Hormuz. Recent August 2026 developments center on stalled diplomacy, additional U.S. sanctions, and Iranian demands for concessions, which traders monitor for signals of internal factional strain or further elite turnover before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$23,400,092Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering an expedited succession process under the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was formally selected as his successor in early March, marking the first dynastic transition in the Islamic Republic’s history and shifting power toward a narrower circle of IRGC commanders and hardline figures, including Ahmad Vahidi. The regime survived subsequent military exchanges and has since focused on consolidating control, managing economic pressures from sanctions, and negotiating access and fees through the Strait of Hormuz. Recent August 2026 developments center on stalled diplomacy, additional U.S. sanctions, and Iranian demands for concessions, which traders monitor for signals of internal factional strain or further elite turnover before any market resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania