Recent polls position Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, as one of Israel's largest parties ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with support fluctuating between roughly 23-25 seats amid competition from Likud and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. The party's recent candidate slate submission, emphasis on security reforms and an October 7 inquiry commission, and gains from undecided or shifting voters have sustained its standing, yet separate runs by major opposition factions and uncertainty over smaller parties clearing the electoral threshold keep projected vote shares tightly clustered. Trader pricing across the 18-24% range reflects this narrow band of polling outcomes and potential late shifts in bloc dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
18-20% 46%
22-24% 44%
20-22% 42%
24%+ 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
42%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
46%
20-22%
42%
22-24%
44%
24%+
42%
18-20% 46%
22-24% 44%
20-22% 42%
24%+ 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$0 Wol.
42%
16-18%
$0 Wol.
28%
18-20%
$0 Wol.
46%
20-22%
$0 Wol.
42%
22-24%
$0 Wol.
44%
24%+
$0 Wol.
42%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls position Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, as one of Israel's largest parties ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with support fluctuating between roughly 23-25 seats amid competition from Likud and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. The party's recent candidate slate submission, emphasis on security reforms and an October 7 inquiry commission, and gains from undecided or shifting voters have sustained its standing, yet separate runs by major opposition factions and uncertainty over smaller parties clearing the electoral threshold keep projected vote shares tightly clustered. Trader pricing across the 18-24% range reflects this narrow band of polling outcomes and potential late shifts in bloc dynamics.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls position Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, as one of Israel's largest parties ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with support fluctuating between roughly 23-25 seats amid competition from Likud and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. The party's recent candidate slate submission, emphasis on security reforms and an October 7 inquiry commission, and gains from undecided or shifting voters have sustained its standing, yet separate runs by major opposition factions and uncertainty over smaller parties clearing the electoral threshold keep projected vote shares tightly clustered. Trader pricing across the 18-24% range reflects this narrow band of polling outcomes and potential late shifts in bloc dynamics.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls position Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, as one of Israel's largest parties ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with support fluctuating between roughly 23-25 seats amid competition from Likud and Naftali Bennett's Together alliance. The party's recent candidate slate submission, emphasis on security reforms and an October 7 inquiry commission, and gains from undecided or shifting voters have sustained its standing, yet separate runs by major opposition factions and uncertainty over smaller parties clearing the electoral threshold keep projected vote shares tightly clustered. Trader pricing across the 18-24% range reflects this narrow band of polling outcomes and potential late shifts in bloc dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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