Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 96%
5-9 2.3%
15-19 2.0%
10-14 1.4%
$12,505 Wol.
$12,505 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
96%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 96%
5-9 2.3%
15-19 2.0%
10-14 1.4%
$12,505 Wol.
$12,505 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,473 Wol.
96%
5-9
$2,064 Wol.
2%
10-14
$1,335 Wol.
1%
15-19
$1,503 Wol.
2%
20-24
$946 Wol.
1%
25-29
$405 Wol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Wol.
1%
35-39
$462 Wol.
1%
40-44
$596 Wol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Wol.
<1%
50-54
$503 Wol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Wol.
<1%
60+
$666 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,505Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$12,505Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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