The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 Wol.
$12,057 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 Wol.
$12,057 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,401 Wol.
94%
5-9
$2,064 Wol.
2%
10-14
$984 Wol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Wol.
2%
20-24
$946 Wol.
1%
25-29
$405 Wol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Wol.
1%
35-39
$448 Wol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Wol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Wol.
<1%
50-54
$503 Wol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Wol.
<1%
60+
$666 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,057Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$12,057Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania