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Polityka·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Polityka·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 69%

Monika Piątkowska 17%

Łukasz Wantuch 4.9%

Jan Hoffman 4.1%

Polymarket

$16,621 Wol.

Łukasz Gibała 69%

Monika Piątkowska 17%

Łukasz Wantuch 4.9%

Jan Hoffman 4.1%

Polymarket

$16,621 Wol.

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$9,149 Wol.

69%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$1,183 Wol.

23%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$353 Wol.

5%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$310 Wol.

4%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$514 Wol.

4%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$608 Wol.

1%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$930 Wol.

1%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$357 Wol.

1%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$420 Wol.

1%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$279 Wol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$351 Wol.

1%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$253 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$348 Wol.

<1%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$353 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$371 Wol.

6%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$425 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$417 Wol.

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral election market due to his established local profile as an independent city councilor and repeated candidate, combined with strong polling averages that place him well ahead of the field ahead of the September 27 vote. The contest stems from a May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski with overwhelming support. Gibała, who narrowly lost the 2024 runoff, has formally launched his campaign under the Kraków dla Mieszkańców committee and benefits from high name recognition and favorable early surveys showing first-round support above 50 percent in multiple polls. Other contenders, including Monika Piątkowska and several lower-polling independents or party nominees, remain fragmented with single-digit or lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum or organizational strength in recent weeks. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the short timeline to election day.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Wolumen
$16,621
Data zakończenia
Sep 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding lead in the Kraków mayoral election market due to his established local profile as an independent city councilor and repeated candidate, combined with strong polling averages that place him well ahead of the field ahead of the September 27 vote. The contest stems from a May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski with overwhelming support. Gibała, who narrowly lost the 2024 runoff, has formally launched his campaign under the Kraków dla Mieszkańców committee and benefits from high name recognition and favorable early surveys showing first-round support above 50 percent in multiple polls. Other contenders, including Monika Piątkowska and several lower-polling independents or party nominees, remain fragmented with single-digit or lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum or organizational strength in recent weeks. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the short timeline to election day.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Wolumen
$16,621
Data zakończenia
Sep 27, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Łukasz Gibała" z 69%, za nim "Monika Piątkowska" z 23%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" wygenerował $16.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 6, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Łukasz Gibała" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Monika Piątkowska" z 23%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.