South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except in cases of insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency trials on election law violations and corruption charges from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been suspended or indefinitely delayed by courts following his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to alter this status. Traders reflect this structural protection and historical precedent of limited exposure for incumbents in the strong consensus against an arrest before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8% szansa
$538,606 Wol.
$538,606 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% szansa
$538,606 Wol.
$538,606 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except in cases of insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency trials on election law violations and corruption charges from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been suspended or indefinitely delayed by courts following his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to alter this status. Traders reflect this structural protection and historical precedent of limited exposure for incumbents in the strong consensus against an arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$538,606Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except in cases of insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency trials on election law violations and corruption charges from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been suspended or indefinitely delayed by courts following his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to alter this status. Traders reflect this structural protection and historical precedent of limited exposure for incumbents in the strong consensus against an arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$538,606Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except in cases of insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency trials on election law violations and corruption charges from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been suspended or indefinitely delayed by courts following his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged in 2026 to alter this status. Traders reflect this structural protection and historical precedent of limited exposure for incumbents in the strong consensus against an arrest before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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