Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as those underlying PredictWind and WeatherBug indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with lows near 16–17°C. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical minimums 14–16°C) and follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Trader consensus places the strongest implied probability (48%) on 14°C or below, reflecting model spread in minimum temperature guidance and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while warmer bins above 20°C carry low odds consistent with the absence of warm advection or frontal activity. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 50%
14°C or below 48%
15°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
59%
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 50%
14°C or below 48%
15°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
48%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
27%
18°C
$5 Wol.
50%
19°C
$5 Wol.
19%
20°C
$5 Wol.
19%
21°C
$5 Wol.
8%
22°C
$5 Wol.
6%
23°C
$5 Wol.
6%
24°C or higher
$5 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as those underlying PredictWind and WeatherBug indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with lows near 16–17°C. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical minimums 14–16°C) and follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Trader consensus places the strongest implied probability (48%) on 14°C or below, reflecting model spread in minimum temperature guidance and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while warmer bins above 20°C carry low odds consistent with the absence of warm advection or frontal activity. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as those underlying PredictWind and WeatherBug indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with lows near 16–17°C. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical minimums 14–16°C) and follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Trader consensus places the strongest implied probability (48%) on 14°C or below, reflecting model spread in minimum temperature guidance and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while warmer bins above 20°C carry low odds consistent with the absence of warm advection or frontal activity. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as those underlying PredictWind and WeatherBug indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with lows near 16–17°C. This aligns with early-September climatology (typical minimums 14–16°C) and follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Trader consensus places the strongest implied probability (48%) on 14°C or below, reflecting model spread in minimum temperature guidance and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, while warmer bins above 20°C carry low odds consistent with the absence of warm advection or frontal activity. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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