Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 2 clustered tightly around 13–16 °C because current high-resolution forecasts from sources such as Yr and PredictWind place the overnight minimum near 16 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling overnight, typical for early September in Ankara’s continental climate, is expected to bring temperatures down from daytime highs near 30 °C, with dew points in the 10–12 °C range limiting further drops. The near-even implied probabilities reflect remaining model spread in exact pre-dawn timing and minor urban versus rural measurement differences, while the negligible odds above 17 °C align with the absence of any warm-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress cooling. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the outcome range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
13°C or below 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
16°C 51%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
51%
17°C
43%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
16°C 51%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
51%
17°C
43%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 2 clustered tightly around 13–16 °C because current high-resolution forecasts from sources such as Yr and PredictWind place the overnight minimum near 16 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow. Radiative cooling overnight, typical for early September in Ankara’s continental climate, is expected to bring temperatures down from daytime highs near 30 °C, with dew points in the 10–12 °C range limiting further drops. The near-even implied probabilities reflect remaining model spread in exact pre-dawn timing and minor urban versus rural measurement differences, while the negligible odds above 17 °C align with the absence of any warm-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress cooling. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the outcome range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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