**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Ankara of 10–12°C on September 8 under clear skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight.** Recent cooling has already lowered daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the mid-20s°C, consistent with seasonal September patterns and the influence of a high-pressure system promoting dry, stable conditions. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those from Yr and PredictWind align on overnight lows near 11°C, though ensemble spreads allow for modest downside risk if winds remain calm. This scientific consensus on modest cooling underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes near or slightly below 10°C while assigning lower probability to warmer readings above 15°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
9°C or below 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
47%
13°C
1%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
23%
9°C or below 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
$10 Wol.
49%
10°C
$0 Wol.
26%
11°C
$24 Wol.
24%
12°C
$0 Wol.
47%
13°C
$0 Wol.
1%
14°C
$0 Wol.
47%
15°C
$0 Wol.
47%
16°C
$0 Wol.
47%
17°C
$0 Wol.
8%
18°C
$6 Wol.
4%
19°C or higher
$6 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Ankara of 10–12°C on September 8 under clear skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight.** Recent cooling has already lowered daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the mid-20s°C, consistent with seasonal September patterns and the influence of a high-pressure system promoting dry, stable conditions. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those from Yr and PredictWind align on overnight lows near 11°C, though ensemble spreads allow for modest downside risk if winds remain calm. This scientific consensus on modest cooling underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes near or slightly below 10°C while assigning lower probability to warmer readings above 15°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Ankara of 10–12°C on September 8 under clear skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight.** Recent cooling has already lowered daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the mid-20s°C, consistent with seasonal September patterns and the influence of a high-pressure system promoting dry, stable conditions. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those from Yr and PredictWind align on overnight lows near 11°C, though ensemble spreads allow for modest downside risk if winds remain calm. This scientific consensus on modest cooling underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes near or slightly below 10°C while assigning lower probability to warmer readings above 15°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Ankara of 10–12°C on September 8 under clear skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight.** Recent cooling has already lowered daytime highs from the mid-30s°C earlier in the week to the mid-20s°C, consistent with seasonal September patterns and the influence of a high-pressure system promoting dry, stable conditions. Official sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those from Yr and PredictWind align on overnight lows near 11°C, though ensemble spreads allow for modest downside risk if winds remain calm. This scientific consensus on modest cooling underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes near or slightly below 10°C while assigning lower probability to warmer readings above 15°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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