Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low near 76–78°F for Austin on September 2, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the low 70s limiting radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent warm, humid pattern with daytime highs near 100°F and no cold front or stronger northerly flow expected in the next 48 hours. The 76–77°F bin leads at 54% implied probability because it aligns closely with current guidance and climatology showing average September lows near 71°F. Nearby bins around 69°F or below (48.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or timing shifts in any weak disturbance, while warmer outcomes capture model spread in minimum temperatures. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through September 1 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 96%
70-71°F 87%
74-75°F 86%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
97%
70-71°F
87%
72-73°F
85%
74-75°F
86%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
80%
80-81°F
85%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
86%
86-87°F
84%
88°F or higher
96%
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 96%
70-71°F 87%
74-75°F 86%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
$15 Wol.
97%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
87%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
85%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
86%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
55%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
80%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
85%
82-83°F
$15 Wol.
20%
84-85°F
$5 Wol.
86%
86-87°F
$5 Wol.
84%
88°F or higher
$5 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low near 76–78°F for Austin on September 2, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the low 70s limiting radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent warm, humid pattern with daytime highs near 100°F and no cold front or stronger northerly flow expected in the next 48 hours. The 76–77°F bin leads at 54% implied probability because it aligns closely with current guidance and climatology showing average September lows near 71°F. Nearby bins around 69°F or below (48.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or timing shifts in any weak disturbance, while warmer outcomes capture model spread in minimum temperatures. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through September 1 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low near 76–78°F for Austin on September 2, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the low 70s limiting radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent warm, humid pattern with daytime highs near 100°F and no cold front or stronger northerly flow expected in the next 48 hours. The 76–77°F bin leads at 54% implied probability because it aligns closely with current guidance and climatology showing average September lows near 71°F. Nearby bins around 69°F or below (48.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or timing shifts in any weak disturbance, while warmer outcomes capture model spread in minimum temperatures. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through September 1 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate an overnight low near 76–78°F for Austin on September 2, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points in the low 70s limiting radiative cooling. This setup follows a persistent warm, humid pattern with daytime highs near 100°F and no cold front or stronger northerly flow expected in the next 48 hours. The 76–77°F bin leads at 54% implied probability because it aligns closely with current guidance and climatology showing average September lows near 71°F. Nearby bins around 69°F or below (48.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or timing shifts in any weak disturbance, while warmer outcomes capture model spread in minimum temperatures. Updated NWS briefings and model runs through September 1 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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