Recent global and regional forecast models, including those from the South African Weather Service, indicate southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 10 that limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town, where average September lows range 8–12 °C but recent model runs show reduced cold-air advection. Trader emphasis on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 47 % implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while the 19 °C-or-higher bin at 35.5 % captures upside potential from warmer advection. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official Cape Town International Airport observations; updated ensemble guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 64%
19°C or higher 57%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
64%
10°C
30%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
57%
9°C or below 64%
19°C or higher 57%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$30 Wol.
64%
10°C
$30 Wol.
30%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
21%
13°C
$0 Wol.
28%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$5 Wol.
28%
16°C
$0 Wol.
22%
17°C
$25 Wol.
8%
18°C
$25 Wol.
1%
19°C or higher
$26 Wol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including those from the South African Weather Service, indicate southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 10 that limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town, where average September lows range 8–12 °C but recent model runs show reduced cold-air advection. Trader emphasis on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 47 % implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while the 19 °C-or-higher bin at 35.5 % captures upside potential from warmer advection. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official Cape Town International Airport observations; updated ensemble guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$142Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global and regional forecast models, including those from the South African Weather Service, indicate southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 10 that limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town, where average September lows range 8–12 °C but recent model runs show reduced cold-air advection. Trader emphasis on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 47 % implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while the 19 °C-or-higher bin at 35.5 % captures upside potential from warmer advection. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official Cape Town International Airport observations; updated ensemble guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$142Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models, including those from the South African Weather Service, indicate southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 10 that limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C. This setup aligns with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town, where average September lows range 8–12 °C but recent model runs show reduced cold-air advection. Trader emphasis on the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 47 % implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while the 19 °C-or-higher bin at 35.5 % captures upside potential from warmer advection. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official Cape Town International Airport observations; updated ensemble guidance expected later today will likely refine these ranges ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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