Current forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C overnight into September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This range reflects the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which typically moderates springtime conditions in Cape Town by limiting cold-air advection and promoting clear to partly cloudy skies with dew points supporting radiative cooling to those levels. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–15°C because recent model guidance shows little divergence in steering patterns or cloud cover that would push the minimum notably lower or higher. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will provide the key data for any shifts ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
14°C 30%
15°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
30%
15°C
30%
16°C
24%
17°C
24%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
8%
14°C 30%
15°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
10°C or below
$47 Wol.
4%
11°C
$16 Wol.
24%
12°C
$0 Wol.
26%
13°C
$0 Wol.
28%
14°C
$0 Wol.
30%
15°C
$0 Wol.
30%
16°C
$0 Wol.
24%
17°C
$0 Wol.
24%
18°C
$125 Wol.
3%
19°C
$25 Wol.
3%
20°C or higher
$37 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C overnight into September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This range reflects the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which typically moderates springtime conditions in Cape Town by limiting cold-air advection and promoting clear to partly cloudy skies with dew points supporting radiative cooling to those levels. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–15°C because recent model guidance shows little divergence in steering patterns or cloud cover that would push the minimum notably lower or higher. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will provide the key data for any shifts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$249Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C overnight into September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This range reflects the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which typically moderates springtime conditions in Cape Town by limiting cold-air advection and promoting clear to partly cloudy skies with dew points supporting radiative cooling to those levels. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–15°C because recent model guidance shows little divergence in steering patterns or cloud cover that would push the minimum notably lower or higher. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will provide the key data for any shifts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$249Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C overnight into September 9 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This range reflects the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which typically moderates springtime conditions in Cape Town by limiting cold-air advection and promoting clear to partly cloudy skies with dew points supporting radiative cooling to those levels. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 13–15°C because recent model guidance shows little divergence in steering patterns or cloud cover that would push the minimum notably lower or higher. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will provide the key data for any shifts ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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