Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 Wol.
$8,748 Wol.
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$8,748 Wol.
$8,748 Wol.
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$142 Wol.
No
12°C
$541 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$5,729 Wol.
No
14°C
$469 Wol.
No
15°C
$477 Wol.
No
16°C
$337 Wol.
No
17°C
$190 Wol.
No
18°C
$779 Wol.
No
19°C
$35 Wol.
No
20°C
$35 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$15 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,748Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,748Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for Cape Town on September 8, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable spring high-pressure regime. These conditions align with typical early-September patterns where average overnight lows range 11–13°C but recent warmer anomalies have moderated cooling. Official measurements from stations such as Cape Town International will determine the precise low, with any model revisions or localized cold-air drainage potentially shifting outcomes. Trader consensus heavily favoring 12°C reflects assessed uncertainty in final observational data and minor forecast spreads rather than strong evidence for cooler readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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