Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
18°C or below 96%
27°C 89%
26°C 48%
21°C 46%
18°C or below
96%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
46%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
25%
26°C
48%
27°C
89%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 96%
27°C 89%
26°C 48%
21°C 46%
18°C or below
96%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
46%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
25%
26°C
48%
27°C
89%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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