**Trader sentiment on the Lucknow minimum temperature market reflects tight uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions.** Official IMD forecasts project a 26°C minimum for September 19, supported by recent observations near 26–27°C and high humidity (80–90%) that limits temperature drops through reduced longwave radiation loss. However, the near-even split between 24°C (51%) and 20°C-or-below (49%) stems from variable factors including scattered thundershowers, cloud cover fluctuations, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress cooling. Model consensus and historical September baselines show typical minima around 25–27°C, but any increase in clear-sky intervals or localized rainfall could shift outcomes toward the lower bin. Upcoming evening observations and final IMD verification will provide the decisive data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$10,353 Wol.
$10,353 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$10,353 Wol.
$10,353 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment on the Lucknow minimum temperature market reflects tight uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions.** Official IMD forecasts project a 26°C minimum for September 19, supported by recent observations near 26–27°C and high humidity (80–90%) that limits temperature drops through reduced longwave radiation loss. However, the near-even split between 24°C (51%) and 20°C-or-below (49%) stems from variable factors including scattered thundershowers, cloud cover fluctuations, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress cooling. Model consensus and historical September baselines show typical minima around 25–27°C, but any increase in clear-sky intervals or localized rainfall could shift outcomes toward the lower bin. Upcoming evening observations and final IMD verification will provide the decisive data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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