**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at an 80% implied probability, driven by official India Meteorological Department forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with light afternoon drizzle possible, high humidity around 74%, and limited radiative cooling under the late-monsoon regime, keeping the daily minimum in the 24–26°C range across Lucknow stations. Nearby IMD reports list minima of 24–26°C, aligning with climatological September baselines for the region. Model guidance shows minor spread between 24°C and 26°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns overnight, which explains the secondary probabilities clustered around 23–24°C. Real-time IMD updates and airport observations through the night remain the key resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 94%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$703 Wol.
$703 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
23°C 94%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$703 Wol.
$703 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at an 80% implied probability, driven by official India Meteorological Department forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies with light afternoon drizzle possible, high humidity around 74%, and limited radiative cooling under the late-monsoon regime, keeping the daily minimum in the 24–26°C range across Lucknow stations. Nearby IMD reports list minima of 24–26°C, aligning with climatological September baselines for the region. Model guidance shows minor spread between 24°C and 26°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns overnight, which explains the secondary probabilities clustered around 23–24°C. Real-time IMD updates and airport observations through the night remain the key resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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