Recent forecast models point to a cooler-than-average overnight minimum in Madrid on August 28 driven by clear skies and light southwesterly winds following a period of increased cloud cover and showers on the 27th. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points near 8–10°C and surface pressures building to around 1018–1021 hPa, supports minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13°C, below the 1991–2020 average low of 18.3°C for the date. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model spread in exact timing of clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban versus airport measurement effects. Official AEMET and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around the lowest hourly reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
12°C 46%
13°C 46%
11°C 43%
16°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
10%
10°C
40%
11°C
43%
12°C
46%
13°C
46%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
43%
17°C
11%
18°C
10%
19°C or higher
3%
12°C 46%
13°C 46%
11°C 43%
16°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$69 Wol.
10%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
43%
12°C
$0 Wol.
46%
13°C
$0 Wol.
46%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
43%
17°C
$20 Wol.
11%
18°C
$5 Wol.
10%
19°C or higher
$15 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models point to a cooler-than-average overnight minimum in Madrid on August 28 driven by clear skies and light southwesterly winds following a period of increased cloud cover and showers on the 27th. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points near 8–10°C and surface pressures building to around 1018–1021 hPa, supports minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13°C, below the 1991–2020 average low of 18.3°C for the date. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model spread in exact timing of clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban versus airport measurement effects. Official AEMET and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around the lowest hourly reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$109Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models point to a cooler-than-average overnight minimum in Madrid on August 28 driven by clear skies and light southwesterly winds following a period of increased cloud cover and showers on the 27th. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points near 8–10°C and surface pressures building to around 1018–1021 hPa, supports minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13°C, below the 1991–2020 average low of 18.3°C for the date. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model spread in exact timing of clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban versus airport measurement effects. Official AEMET and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around the lowest hourly reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$109Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models point to a cooler-than-average overnight minimum in Madrid on August 28 driven by clear skies and light southwesterly winds following a period of increased cloud cover and showers on the 27th. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, with dew points near 8–10°C and surface pressures building to around 1018–1021 hPa, supports minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13°C, below the 1991–2020 average low of 18.3°C for the date. Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect model spread in exact timing of clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban versus airport measurement effects. Official AEMET and ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around the lowest hourly reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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