The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Wol.
$51,681 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Wol.
$51,681 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$233 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,757 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$3,094 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$3,464 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$8,089 Wol.
100%
27°C
$2,978 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,914 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$3,575 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$9,029 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$9,376 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$7,173 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,681Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$51,681Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus on 26°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum temperature observation for August 26, 2026, which recorded exactly that value amid widespread rain and overcast conditions that suppressed overnight cooling. This aligns with regional reports showing nighttime lows stabilizing near 26°C under high humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late August in the subtropical environment. Trader positioning incorporates the authority of HKO data as the resolution benchmark, with minimal uncertainty once verified measurements are released. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions, differences across monitoring stations, or adjustments to the precise 24-hour reporting window, though such changes are infrequent for established meteorological records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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