Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
16%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
69%
22°C
$5 Wol.
16%
23°C
$5 Wol.
47%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
28%
26°C
$0 Wol.
28%
27°C
$0 Wol.
27%
28°C
$0 Wol.
25%
29°C
$5 Wol.
49%
30°C
$5 Wol.
20%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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