Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 4?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 12.0%
76-77°F 8%
NOWE
$10,835 Wol.
NOWE
$10,835 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 12.0%
76-77°F 8%
NOWE
$10,835 Wol.
NOWE
$10,835 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
67°F or below
$495 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$406 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$866 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$367 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$553 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$214 Wol.
8%
78-79°F
$660 Wol.
45%
80-81°F
$5,273 Wol.
45%
82-83°F
$411 Wol.
9%
84-85°F
$631 Wol.
1%
86°F or higher
$958 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,835Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,835Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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