An approaching Atlantic front is driving cooler, unsettled conditions over northern Italy, with forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing persistent cloud cover, rain, and northeast winds moderating temperatures in Milan on September 10. Official guidance points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C, as daytime heating remains suppressed and moisture limits radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create uncertainty around exact minima, supporting closely matched market-implied odds between sub-13 °C and 22 °C+ outcomes despite the central tendency near 18 °C. Historical September minima average 15–16 °C, underscoring why traders weigh both cooler advection risks and potential clearing scenarios ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
22°C or higher 76%
12°C or below 71%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
71%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
76%
22°C or higher 76%
12°C or below 71%
16°C 27%
17°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$75 Wol.
71%
13°C
$0 Wol.
22%
14°C
$0 Wol.
21%
15°C
$0 Wol.
22%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
22%
19°C
$0 Wol.
21%
20°C
$17 Wol.
21%
21°C
$25 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$75 Wol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching Atlantic front is driving cooler, unsettled conditions over northern Italy, with forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing persistent cloud cover, rain, and northeast winds moderating temperatures in Milan on September 10. Official guidance points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C, as daytime heating remains suppressed and moisture limits radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create uncertainty around exact minima, supporting closely matched market-implied odds between sub-13 °C and 22 °C+ outcomes despite the central tendency near 18 °C. Historical September minima average 15–16 °C, underscoring why traders weigh both cooler advection risks and potential clearing scenarios ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$192Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching Atlantic front is driving cooler, unsettled conditions over northern Italy, with forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing persistent cloud cover, rain, and northeast winds moderating temperatures in Milan on September 10. Official guidance points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C, as daytime heating remains suppressed and moisture limits radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create uncertainty around exact minima, supporting closely matched market-implied odds between sub-13 °C and 22 °C+ outcomes despite the central tendency near 18 °C. Historical September minima average 15–16 °C, underscoring why traders weigh both cooler advection risks and potential clearing scenarios ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$192Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...An approaching Atlantic front is driving cooler, unsettled conditions over northern Italy, with forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing persistent cloud cover, rain, and northeast winds moderating temperatures in Milan on September 10. Official guidance points to overnight lows near 18–19 °C, as daytime heating remains suppressed and moisture limits radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create uncertainty around exact minima, supporting closely matched market-implied odds between sub-13 °C and 22 °C+ outcomes despite the central tendency near 18 °C. Historical September minima average 15–16 °C, underscoring why traders weigh both cooler advection risks and potential clearing scenarios ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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