Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C across Singapore on September 21. This range aligns with the prevailing southwest monsoon regime and typical September climatology, where minimums average near 25 °C but often remain above 27 °C when humidity stays elevated and cloud cover limits nocturnal cooling. Recent thundery showers and moderate haze have introduced minor variability in local heat retention, while official observations from stations such as Changi will determine the precise daily low. Updated model guidance and the next Meteorological Service Singapore briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied probabilities among the closely matched 25–27 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Singapore on September 21?
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
25°C 50%
21°C or below 46.8%
21°C or below
47%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
50%
26°C
51%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 50%
25°C 50%
21°C or below 46.8%
21°C or below
47%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
50%
26°C
51%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing minimum temperatures of 25–27 °C across Singapore on September 21. This range aligns with the prevailing southwest monsoon regime and typical September climatology, where minimums average near 25 °C but often remain above 27 °C when humidity stays elevated and cloud cover limits nocturnal cooling. Recent thundery showers and moderate haze have introduced minor variability in local heat retention, while official observations from stations such as Changi will determine the precise daily low. Updated model guidance and the next Meteorological Service Singapore briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied probabilities among the closely matched 25–27 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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