John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJohn Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 Wol.
$11,060 Wol.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
1%
Malcolm Offord
1%
Russell Findlay
1%
Anas Sarwar
<1%
Ross Greer
<1%
Gillian Mackay
<1%
John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 Wol.
$11,060 Wol.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
$3,218 Wol.
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
$1,346 Wol.
1%
Malcolm Offord
$912 Wol.
1%
Russell Findlay
$2,554 Wol.
1%
Anas Sarwar
$1,945 Wol.
<1%
Ross Greer
$515 Wol.
<1%
Gillian Mackay
$570 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,060Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,060Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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