Traders see closely matched implied probabilities between a June 23 release (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%) because Google has not issued an official announcement narrowing the window for the next Gemini Pro large language model update. Recent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model iterations, combined with Google’s pattern of aligning major AI drops with developer events or quarterly updates, keeps sentiment fluid. Key differentiators include demonstrated gains in multimodal capabilities, benchmark scores on standard AI evaluations, and deeper integration with Search and Android platforms. The modest 12.1% chance of no release by June 30 underscores how product timelines can slip due to safety testing or internal priorities, leaving room for last-minute catalysts such as earnings commentary or partner briefings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 30 25%
June 23 23%
No release by June 30 12.1%
June 22 6.0%
$114,630 Wol.
$114,630 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
3%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
23%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
25%
No release by June 30
12%
June 30 25%
June 23 23%
No release by June 30 12.1%
June 22 6.0%
$114,630 Wol.
$114,630 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 13
$3,166 Wol.
<1%
June 14
$2,635 Wol.
<1%
June 15
$1,936 Wol.
<1%
June 16
$3,410 Wol.
3%
June 17
$3,529 Wol.
2%
June 18
$2,595 Wol.
4%
June 19
$2,546 Wol.
2%
June 20
$1,452 Wol.
1%
June 21
$1,501 Wol.
1%
June 22
$4,593 Wol.
6%
June 23
$4,531 Wol.
23%
June 24
$2,937 Wol.
4%
June 25
$1,439 Wol.
2%
June 26
$3,336 Wol.
6%
June 27
$2,009 Wol.
1%
June 28
$1,365 Wol.
<1%
June 29
$1,805 Wol.
<1%
June 30
$5,678 Wol.
25%
No release by June 30
$17,742 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see closely matched implied probabilities between a June 23 release (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%) because Google has not issued an official announcement narrowing the window for the next Gemini Pro large language model update. Recent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model iterations, combined with Google’s pattern of aligning major AI drops with developer events or quarterly updates, keeps sentiment fluid. Key differentiators include demonstrated gains in multimodal capabilities, benchmark scores on standard AI evaluations, and deeper integration with Search and Android platforms. The modest 12.1% chance of no release by June 30 underscores how product timelines can slip due to safety testing or internal priorities, leaving room for last-minute catalysts such as earnings commentary or partner briefings.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$114,630Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see closely matched implied probabilities between a June 23 release (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%) because Google has not issued an official announcement narrowing the window for the next Gemini Pro large language model update. Recent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model iterations, combined with Google’s pattern of aligning major AI drops with developer events or quarterly updates, keeps sentiment fluid. Key differentiators include demonstrated gains in multimodal capabilities, benchmark scores on standard AI evaluations, and deeper integration with Search and Android platforms. The modest 12.1% chance of no release by June 30 underscores how product timelines can slip due to safety testing or internal priorities, leaving room for last-minute catalysts such as earnings commentary or partner briefings.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$114,630Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched implied probabilities between a June 23 release (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%) because Google has not issued an official announcement narrowing the window for the next Gemini Pro large language model update. Recent competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model iterations, combined with Google’s pattern of aligning major AI drops with developer events or quarterly updates, keeps sentiment fluid. Key differentiators include demonstrated gains in multimodal capabilities, benchmark scores on standard AI evaluations, and deeper integration with Search and Android platforms. The modest 12.1% chance of no release by June 30 underscores how product timelines can slip due to safety testing or internal priorities, leaving room for last-minute catalysts such as earnings commentary or partner briefings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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