Recent developments in the UK Labour Party have elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading contender to become the next prime minister, with traders pricing his odds highest amid mounting pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and cabinet resignations. Burnham secured approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, creating a potential route to Parliament and a subsequent leadership challenge under party rules. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain positioned as alternatives should an open contest emerge, while the "no change in 2026" outcome reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilise his position before the next general election. These shifts stem from internal party manoeuvres and dissatisfaction with the current government's direction.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 56.7%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,277,593 Wol.
$7,277,593 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.7%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,277,593 Wol.
$7,277,593 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in the UK Labour Party have elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading contender to become the next prime minister, with traders pricing his odds highest amid mounting pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and cabinet resignations. Burnham secured approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, creating a potential route to Parliament and a subsequent leadership challenge under party rules. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain positioned as alternatives should an open contest emerge, while the "no change in 2026" outcome reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilise his position before the next general election. These shifts stem from internal party manoeuvres and dissatisfaction with the current government's direction.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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