OpenAI’s IPO market-cap odds reflect its rapid revenue scaling alongside elevated losses and valuation ambitions. The company’s annualized revenue run rate exceeded $40 billion in mid-2026, roughly doubling year-end 2025 levels, with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and gross margins constrained near 33 percent by inference costs projected at $14 billion. Private valuations reached $852 billion following a March 2026 round, while management has signaled reluctance to list below $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet timing has shifted toward late 2026 or 2027 amid competition and profitability concerns, with 2026 losses estimated near $14 billion. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue reports and any revised banker guidance on pricing thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,520,024 Wol.
$1,520,024 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
800 mld USD
83%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
61%
1,4 bln $
47%
1,6 bln USD
42%
$1,520,024 Wol.
$1,520,024 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
800 mld USD
$107,745 Wol.
83%
1 bilion dolarów
$1,046,738 Wol.
76%
1,2 bln $
$248,687 Wol.
61%
1,4 bln $
$67,861 Wol.
47%
1,6 bln USD
$48,993 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s IPO market-cap odds reflect its rapid revenue scaling alongside elevated losses and valuation ambitions. The company’s annualized revenue run rate exceeded $40 billion in mid-2026, roughly doubling year-end 2025 levels, with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and gross margins constrained near 33 percent by inference costs projected at $14 billion. Private valuations reached $852 billion following a March 2026 round, while management has signaled reluctance to list below $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet timing has shifted toward late 2026 or 2027 amid competition and profitability concerns, with 2026 losses estimated near $14 billion. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue reports and any revised banker guidance on pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,520,024Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s IPO market-cap odds reflect its rapid revenue scaling alongside elevated losses and valuation ambitions. The company’s annualized revenue run rate exceeded $40 billion in mid-2026, roughly doubling year-end 2025 levels, with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and gross margins constrained near 33 percent by inference costs projected at $14 billion. Private valuations reached $852 billion following a March 2026 round, while management has signaled reluctance to list below $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet timing has shifted toward late 2026 or 2027 amid competition and profitability concerns, with 2026 losses estimated near $14 billion. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue reports and any revised banker guidance on pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Wolumen
$1,520,024Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s IPO market-cap odds reflect its rapid revenue scaling alongside elevated losses and valuation ambitions. The company’s annualized revenue run rate exceeded $40 billion in mid-2026, roughly doubling year-end 2025 levels, with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and gross margins constrained near 33 percent by inference costs projected at $14 billion. Private valuations reached $852 billion following a March 2026 round, while management has signaled reluctance to list below $1 trillion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet timing has shifted toward late 2026 or 2027 amid competition and profitability concerns, with 2026 losses estimated near $14 billion. Key near-term catalysts include further revenue reports and any revised banker guidance on pricing thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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