Traders see a tightly contested race for third place in Text Arena's math category by late November, with market-implied odds clustered around 25-50% across frontrunners reflecting ongoing volatility in LLM math benchmarks. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate overall text arenas through strong reasoning chains, yet Moonshot's Kimi models lead dedicated math evaluations while Google, Meta, and Alibaba push competitive gains via recent high-score releases on contaminated-free competition sets. Key swing factors include November model drops emphasizing chain-of-thought scaling, tool use in Project Euler-style tasks, and benchmark updates that could shift lab rankings by several positions. Traders weigh demonstrated capabilities in arenas like AIME and HMMT against historical slippage in release timelines, treating the 50% cluster as aggregated sentiment on narrow differentiation in frontier math performance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
DeepSeek 36.1%
Anthropic 32%
Nvidia 31%
OpenAI 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
DeepSeek
36%
Anthropic
32%
Nvidia
31%
OpenAI
26%
SpaceXAI
25%
Baidu
25%
Microsoft
25%
Meta
24%
Meituan
24%
21%
Bytedance
16%
Xiaomi
14%
Moonshot
14%
StepFun
14%
Thinky
14%
Z.ai
13%
Mistral
13%
Tencent
12%
Amazon
12%
Alibaba
4%
MiniMax
21%
DeepSeek 36.1%
Anthropic 32%
Nvidia 31%
OpenAI 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
DeepSeek
$33 Wol.
36%
Anthropic
$33 Wol.
32%
Nvidia
$33 Wol.
31%
OpenAI
$33 Wol.
26%
SpaceXAI
$33 Wol.
25%
Baidu
$33 Wol.
25%
Microsoft
$33 Wol.
25%
Meta
$33 Wol.
24%
Meituan
$33 Wol.
24%
$33 Wol.
21%
Bytedance
$33 Wol.
16%
Xiaomi
$33 Wol.
14%
Moonshot
$33 Wol.
14%
StepFun
$128 Wol.
14%
Thinky
$33 Wol.
14%
Z.ai
$33 Wol.
13%
Mistral
$33 Wol.
13%
Tencent
$33 Wol.
12%
Amazon
$54 Wol.
12%
Alibaba
$33 Wol.
4%
MiniMax
$45 Wol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for third place in Text Arena's math category by late November, with market-implied odds clustered around 25-50% across frontrunners reflecting ongoing volatility in LLM math benchmarks. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate overall text arenas through strong reasoning chains, yet Moonshot's Kimi models lead dedicated math evaluations while Google, Meta, and Alibaba push competitive gains via recent high-score releases on contaminated-free competition sets. Key swing factors include November model drops emphasizing chain-of-thought scaling, tool use in Project Euler-style tasks, and benchmark updates that could shift lab rankings by several positions. Traders weigh demonstrated capabilities in arenas like AIME and HMMT against historical slippage in release timelines, treating the 50% cluster as aggregated sentiment on narrow differentiation in frontier math performance.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for third place in Text Arena's math category by late November, with market-implied odds clustered around 25-50% across frontrunners reflecting ongoing volatility in LLM math benchmarks. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate overall text arenas through strong reasoning chains, yet Moonshot's Kimi models lead dedicated math evaluations while Google, Meta, and Alibaba push competitive gains via recent high-score releases on contaminated-free competition sets. Key swing factors include November model drops emphasizing chain-of-thought scaling, tool use in Project Euler-style tasks, and benchmark updates that could shift lab rankings by several positions. Traders weigh demonstrated capabilities in arenas like AIME and HMMT against historical slippage in release timelines, treating the 50% cluster as aggregated sentiment on narrow differentiation in frontier math performance.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested race for third place in Text Arena's math category by late November, with market-implied odds clustered around 25-50% across frontrunners reflecting ongoing volatility in LLM math benchmarks. Anthropic's Claude variants currently dominate overall text arenas through strong reasoning chains, yet Moonshot's Kimi models lead dedicated math evaluations while Google, Meta, and Alibaba push competitive gains via recent high-score releases on contaminated-free competition sets. Key swing factors include November model drops emphasizing chain-of-thought scaling, tool use in Project Euler-style tasks, and benchmark updates that could shift lab rankings by several positions. Traders weigh demonstrated capabilities in arenas like AIME and HMMT against historical slippage in release timelines, treating the 50% cluster as aggregated sentiment on narrow differentiation in frontier math performance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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