Trump remains the sitting president in his second term with no verified health events, resignation announcements, or successful removal proceedings that would trigger an early exit before 2027. Official actions such as executive orders, cabinet confirmations, and legislative priorities have proceeded without major institutional disruptions or party-led pressure for departure. Historical base rates show sitting presidents rarely leave office early absent scandals, incapacity, or electoral defeat, and current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of such catalysts through late 2026. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and ongoing policy implementation further anchor expectations of continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
7% szansa
$11,192,588 Wol.
$11,192,588 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
7% szansa
$11,192,588 Wol.
$11,192,588 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains the sitting president in his second term with no verified health events, resignation announcements, or successful removal proceedings that would trigger an early exit before 2027. Official actions such as executive orders, cabinet confirmations, and legislative priorities have proceeded without major institutional disruptions or party-led pressure for departure. Historical base rates show sitting presidents rarely leave office early absent scandals, incapacity, or electoral defeat, and current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of such catalysts through late 2026. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and ongoing policy implementation further anchor expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,192,588Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains the sitting president in his second term with no verified health events, resignation announcements, or successful removal proceedings that would trigger an early exit before 2027. Official actions such as executive orders, cabinet confirmations, and legislative priorities have proceeded without major institutional disruptions or party-led pressure for departure. Historical base rates show sitting presidents rarely leave office early absent scandals, incapacity, or electoral defeat, and current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of such catalysts through late 2026. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and ongoing policy implementation further anchor expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$11,194,478Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trump remains the sitting president in his second term with no verified health events, resignation announcements, or successful removal proceedings that would trigger an early exit before 2027. Official actions such as executive orders, cabinet confirmations, and legislative priorities have proceeded without major institutional disruptions or party-led pressure for departure. Historical base rates show sitting presidents rarely leave office early absent scandals, incapacity, or electoral defeat, and current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of such catalysts through late 2026. Scheduled events including the 2026 midterms and ongoing policy implementation further anchor expectations of continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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