Trump administration officials established a roughly $1.8 billion DOJ “anti-weaponization” settlement fund in May 2026 to compensate individuals alleging prior government targeting, and pardoned numerous January 6 defendants have begun applying for potential disbursements through that program. Acting Attorney General statements left open the possibility of broader eligibility, yet no public records or statements indicate President Trump has made or committed personal funds to any individual defendant. Congressional Democrats introduced legislation to restrict use of the settlement money for such claims, adding procedural uncertainty. Traders therefore assign only a low single-digit probability to direct personal payment occurring before the market resolves.