Recent polling from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows Christian Menefee ahead of Al Green by seven points in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff for Texas’ 18th Congressional District. The contest stems from last summer’s redistricting, which merged the longtime districts of the two sitting Democratic incumbents into a single reliably Democratic seat. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to succeed the late Representative Sylvester Turner, holds stronger support among younger voters, white voters, and Latinos according to the survey. Traders have priced this momentum into the current outcome probabilities, with early voting set to begin shortly before the runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChristian Menefee 89.3%
Al Green 10.3%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 Wol.
$27,959 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.3%
Al Green 10.3%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 Wol.
$27,959 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Christian Menefee
$16,738 Wol.
89%
Al Green
$4,919 Wol.
10%
Gretchen Brown
$3,586 Wol.
<1%
Amanda Edwards
$2,716 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows Christian Menefee ahead of Al Green by seven points in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff for Texas’ 18th Congressional District. The contest stems from last summer’s redistricting, which merged the longtime districts of the two sitting Democratic incumbents into a single reliably Democratic seat. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to succeed the late Representative Sylvester Turner, holds stronger support among younger voters, white voters, and Latinos according to the survey. Traders have priced this momentum into the current outcome probabilities, with early voting set to begin shortly before the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,959Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows Christian Menefee ahead of Al Green by seven points in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff for Texas’ 18th Congressional District. The contest stems from last summer’s redistricting, which merged the longtime districts of the two sitting Democratic incumbents into a single reliably Democratic seat. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to succeed the late Representative Sylvester Turner, holds stronger support among younger voters, white voters, and Latinos according to the survey. Traders have priced this momentum into the current outcome probabilities, with early voting set to begin shortly before the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$27,959Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from the University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs shows Christian Menefee ahead of Al Green by seven points in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff for Texas’ 18th Congressional District. The contest stems from last summer’s redistricting, which merged the longtime districts of the two sitting Democratic incumbents into a single reliably Democratic seat. Menefee, who won a special election earlier this year to succeed the late Representative Sylvester Turner, holds stronger support among younger voters, white voters, and Latinos according to the survey. Traders have priced this momentum into the current outcome probabilities, with early voting set to begin shortly before the runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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