Trader consensus at 95.5% against U.S. military draft authorization in 2026 reflects the absence of any congressional legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to enable induction or conscription. The FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, enacted in December 2025, only automated Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26 starting December 2026, without authorizing activation of the draft or personnel inductions. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and lawmakers have shown no recent moves to revive it amid stable recruitment and public opposition. With four months remaining before the market resolution deadline, only an unforeseen national emergency prompting rapid congressional action could alter the outcome before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano5% szansa
$518,908 Wol.
$518,908 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% szansa
$518,908 Wol.
$518,908 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 95.5% against U.S. military draft authorization in 2026 reflects the absence of any congressional legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to enable induction or conscription. The FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, enacted in December 2025, only automated Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26 starting December 2026, without authorizing activation of the draft or personnel inductions. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and lawmakers have shown no recent moves to revive it amid stable recruitment and public opposition. With four months remaining before the market resolution deadline, only an unforeseen national emergency prompting rapid congressional action could alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$518,908Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 95.5% against U.S. military draft authorization in 2026 reflects the absence of any congressional legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to enable induction or conscription. The FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, enacted in December 2025, only automated Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26 starting December 2026, without authorizing activation of the draft or personnel inductions. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and lawmakers have shown no recent moves to revive it amid stable recruitment and public opposition. With four months remaining before the market resolution deadline, only an unforeseen national emergency prompting rapid congressional action could alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$518,908Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 95.5% against U.S. military draft authorization in 2026 reflects the absence of any congressional legislation amending the Military Selective Service Act to enable induction or conscription. The FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, enacted in December 2025, only automated Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26 starting December 2026, without authorizing activation of the draft or personnel inductions. The all-volunteer force has operated without conscription since 1973, and lawmakers have shown no recent moves to revive it amid stable recruitment and public opposition. With four months remaining before the market resolution deadline, only an unforeseen national emergency prompting rapid congressional action could alter the outcome before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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