Utah's 2nd congressional district, redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterms to encompass northern Utah counties including Cache, Davis, and Weber, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, positioning him as the clear general election frontrunner against Democrat Peter Crosby. The district's conservative voter base, combined with Utah's history of Republican dominance in House races and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals since the primaries, supports the heavy market tilt toward the Republican nominee. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters in the Ogden area could narrow the gap, though historical margins in comparable Utah districts indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,353 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,941 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district, redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterms to encompass northern Utah counties including Cache, Davis, and Weber, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, positioning him as the clear general election frontrunner against Democrat Peter Crosby. The district's conservative voter base, combined with Utah's history of Republican dominance in House races and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals since the primaries, supports the heavy market tilt toward the Republican nominee. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters in the Ogden area could narrow the gap, though historical margins in comparable Utah districts indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,294Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd congressional district, redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterms to encompass northern Utah counties including Cache, Davis, and Weber, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, positioning him as the clear general election frontrunner against Democrat Peter Crosby. The district's conservative voter base, combined with Utah's history of Republican dominance in House races and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals since the primaries, supports the heavy market tilt toward the Republican nominee. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters in the Ogden area could narrow the gap, though historical margins in comparable Utah districts indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,294Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd congressional district, redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterms to encompass northern Utah counties including Cache, Davis, and Weber, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore secured the GOP nomination in the June primary against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, positioning him as the clear general election frontrunner against Democrat Peter Crosby. The district's conservative voter base, combined with Utah's history of Republican dominance in House races and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals since the primaries, supports the heavy market tilt toward the Republican nominee. A late-breaking development such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or significant turnout surge among Democratic-leaning voters in the Ogden area could narrow the gap, though historical margins in comparable Utah districts indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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