Geopolitical tensions tied to US-Iran relations and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven WTI crude oil prices sharply higher in recent weeks, with spot levels recently trading near $100 per barrel after April spikes toward $105 and Brent benchmarks averaging over $110. Supply disruptions from Middle East production shut-ins totaling several million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, outweighing softening global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA for 2026. Market-implied odds reflect this risk premium amid inventory draws projected by the EIA, though easing diplomatic signals and rising US exports could cap further gains. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting, which may influence quota adjustments as volatility persists around current trading ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
$18,311,126 Wol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ $95
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
18%
↓ $80
9%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,311,126 Wol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ $95
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
18%
↓ $80
9%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions tied to US-Iran relations and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven WTI crude oil prices sharply higher in recent weeks, with spot levels recently trading near $100 per barrel after April spikes toward $105 and Brent benchmarks averaging over $110. Supply disruptions from Middle East production shut-ins totaling several million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, outweighing softening global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA for 2026. Market-implied odds reflect this risk premium amid inventory draws projected by the EIA, though easing diplomatic signals and rising US exports could cap further gains. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting, which may influence quota adjustments as volatility persists around current trading ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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