Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 24% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end 2026, driven by lingering board tensions from his 2023 ouster attempt, leaked internal chats revealing Microsoft’s heavy influence, and intensifying AI competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Recent Apple CEO Tim Cook’s April 20 announcement to step down effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman amid AI hardware pivots—has heightened scrutiny on Big Tech leadership changes, though other outcomes like Andy Jassy at Amazon (15%) and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) remain subdued despite layoffs and restructuring. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings calls and major AI model releases, which could shift sentiment on executive stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtórzy dyrektorzy generalni wyjdą przed 2027 r.?
Którzy dyrektorzy generalni wyjdą przed 2027 r.?
$691,667 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%
Sundar Pichai - Google
2%
$691,667 Wol.
Sam Altman - OpenAI
$84,313 Wol.
20%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
$82,177 Wol.
12%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
$27,511 Wol.
10%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
$43,833 Wol.
9%
Sundar Pichai - Google
$36,846 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 24% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end 2026, driven by lingering board tensions from his 2023 ouster attempt, leaked internal chats revealing Microsoft’s heavy influence, and intensifying AI competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Recent Apple CEO Tim Cook’s April 20 announcement to step down effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman amid AI hardware pivots—has heightened scrutiny on Big Tech leadership changes, though other outcomes like Andy Jassy at Amazon (15%) and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) remain subdued despite layoffs and restructuring. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings calls and major AI model releases, which could shift sentiment on executive stability.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$691,667Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 24% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end 2026, driven by lingering board tensions from his 2023 ouster attempt, leaked internal chats revealing Microsoft’s heavy influence, and intensifying AI competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Recent Apple CEO Tim Cook’s April 20 announcement to step down effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman amid AI hardware pivots—has heightened scrutiny on Big Tech leadership changes, though other outcomes like Andy Jassy at Amazon (15%) and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) remain subdued despite layoffs and restructuring. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings calls and major AI model releases, which could shift sentiment on executive stability.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Wolumen
$691,667Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 24% implied probability to Sam Altman departing OpenAI before year-end 2026, driven by lingering board tensions from his 2023 ouster attempt, leaked internal chats revealing Microsoft’s heavy influence, and intensifying AI competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Recent Apple CEO Tim Cook’s April 20 announcement to step down effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman amid AI hardware pivots—has heightened scrutiny on Big Tech leadership changes, though other outcomes like Andy Jassy at Amazon (15%) and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) remain subdued despite layoffs and restructuring. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings calls and major AI model releases, which could shift sentiment on executive stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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