Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 4.7 release drives the strong 70.5% market-implied probability for the company holding the best large language model by end of June, as traders cite its leading performance on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and strong reasoning capabilities that outpace rivals in practical developer tasks. Google sits at 22% largely due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's advantages in multimodal accuracy and math benchmarks, though it trails in sustained agentic workflows. OpenAI's lower 6% odds reflect GPT-5.5's solid versatility without a clear edge in the most contested areas, while xAI and others remain marginal amid slower frontier progress. Key catalysts ahead include any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts before the June resolution, underscoring how quickly competitive positioning can evolve in the AI landscape.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóra firma ma najlepszy model sztucznej inteligencji pod koniec czerwca?
Która firma ma najlepszy model sztucznej inteligencji pod koniec czerwca?
Anthropic 70.5%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.1%
$6,008,659 Wol.
$6,008,659 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
71%
22%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 70.5%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.1%
$6,008,659 Wol.
$6,008,659 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$845,911 Wol.
71%
$546,710 Wol.
22%
OpenAI
$343,745 Wol.
6%
xAI
$1,067,620 Wol.
1%
Meta
$136,791 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$504,483 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$163,552 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$303,587 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$483,603 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$156,705 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$160,172 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$383,399 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$364,372 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$382,464 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$165,556 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 4.7 release drives the strong 70.5% market-implied probability for the company holding the best large language model by end of June, as traders cite its leading performance on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and strong reasoning capabilities that outpace rivals in practical developer tasks. Google sits at 22% largely due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's advantages in multimodal accuracy and math benchmarks, though it trails in sustained agentic workflows. OpenAI's lower 6% odds reflect GPT-5.5's solid versatility without a clear edge in the most contested areas, while xAI and others remain marginal amid slower frontier progress. Key catalysts ahead include any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts before the June resolution, underscoring how quickly competitive positioning can evolve in the AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,008,659Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 4.7 release drives the strong 70.5% market-implied probability for the company holding the best large language model by end of June, as traders cite its leading performance on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and strong reasoning capabilities that outpace rivals in practical developer tasks. Google sits at 22% largely due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's advantages in multimodal accuracy and math benchmarks, though it trails in sustained agentic workflows. OpenAI's lower 6% odds reflect GPT-5.5's solid versatility without a clear edge in the most contested areas, while xAI and others remain marginal amid slower frontier progress. Key catalysts ahead include any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts before the June resolution, underscoring how quickly competitive positioning can evolve in the AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$6,008,659Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 4.7 release drives the strong 70.5% market-implied probability for the company holding the best large language model by end of June, as traders cite its leading performance on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and strong reasoning capabilities that outpace rivals in practical developer tasks. Google sits at 22% largely due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's advantages in multimodal accuracy and math benchmarks, though it trails in sustained agentic workflows. OpenAI's lower 6% odds reflect GPT-5.5's solid versatility without a clear edge in the most contested areas, while xAI and others remain marginal amid slower frontier progress. Key catalysts ahead include any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts before the June resolution, underscoring how quickly competitive positioning can evolve in the AI landscape.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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