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Polityka·Senat

Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

icon for Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?
Polityka·Senat

Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Pamela Evette 37.8%

David Wilkins 18.6%

Russell Fry 9%

Joe Wilson 6.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

$11,311 Wol.

Pamela Evette 37.8%

David Wilkins 18.6%

Russell Fry 9%

Joe Wilson 6.8%

Polymarket
NOWE

$11,311 Wol.

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$7,168 Wol.

38%

icon for David Wilkins

David Wilkins

$511 Wol.

19%

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$661 Wol.

9%

icon for Joe Wilson

Joe Wilson

$604 Wol.

11%

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$268 Wol.

6%

icon for Nancy Mace

Nancy Mace

$636 Wol.

6%

icon for Scott Bessent

Scott Bessent

$36 Wol.

4%

icon for Alan Wilson

Alan Wilson

$186 Wol.

4%

icon for André Bauer

André Bauer

$186 Wol.

4%

icon for Mick Mulvaney

Mick Mulvaney

$186 Wol.

4%

icon for Paul Dans

Paul Dans

$186 Wol.

3%

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$196 Wol.

2%

icon for Bob Peeler

Bob Peeler

$186 Wol.

2%

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$186 Wol.

2%

icon for None Before Midterm Election

None Before Midterm Election

$56 Wol.

1%

icon for William Timmons

William Timmons

$56 Wol.

1%

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term.

This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.

Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.

If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,311
Data zakończenia
Nov 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.

The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term.

This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.

Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.

If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,311
Data zakończenia
Nov 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Governor of South Carolina may appoint a replacement U.S. Senator for South Carolina to serve the rest of Lindsey Graham’s term. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Pamela Evette" z 38%, za nim "David Wilkins" z 19%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 38¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?" wygenerował $11.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 12, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?" jest "Pamela Evette" z 38%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "David Wilkins" z 19%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.