Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them the votes needed for a simple-majority rules change, yet trader odds reflect persistent internal resistance to full filibuster elimination. President Trump has repeatedly urged termination of the 60-vote threshold to advance the SAVE America Act, appropriations, and debt-ceiling measures, including public calls in July 2026 to cancel recess. Thune and multiple GOP senators have declined, citing insufficient caucus support and precedent for preserving the tool against future minority obstruction. Limited procedural steps occurred in 2025 for nominations and budget scoring, but broader legislative changes have stalled amid these divisions. Midterm dynamics and upcoming fiscal deadlines could test discipline, though historical patterns favor incremental workarounds over a complete break.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$560,617 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 grudnia 2026
11%
$560,617 Wol.
31 grudnia 2026
$5,656 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them the votes needed for a simple-majority rules change, yet trader odds reflect persistent internal resistance to full filibuster elimination. President Trump has repeatedly urged termination of the 60-vote threshold to advance the SAVE America Act, appropriations, and debt-ceiling measures, including public calls in July 2026 to cancel recess. Thune and multiple GOP senators have declined, citing insufficient caucus support and precedent for preserving the tool against future minority obstruction. Limited procedural steps occurred in 2025 for nominations and budget scoring, but broader legislative changes have stalled amid these divisions. Midterm dynamics and upcoming fiscal deadlines could test discipline, though historical patterns favor incremental workarounds over a complete break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$560,617Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them the votes needed for a simple-majority rules change, yet trader odds reflect persistent internal resistance to full filibuster elimination. President Trump has repeatedly urged termination of the 60-vote threshold to advance the SAVE America Act, appropriations, and debt-ceiling measures, including public calls in July 2026 to cancel recess. Thune and multiple GOP senators have declined, citing insufficient caucus support and precedent for preserving the tool against future minority obstruction. Limited procedural steps occurred in 2025 for nominations and budget scoring, but broader legislative changes have stalled amid these divisions. Midterm dynamics and upcoming fiscal deadlines could test discipline, though historical patterns favor incremental workarounds over a complete break.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Wolumen
$560,617Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them the votes needed for a simple-majority rules change, yet trader odds reflect persistent internal resistance to full filibuster elimination. President Trump has repeatedly urged termination of the 60-vote threshold to advance the SAVE America Act, appropriations, and debt-ceiling measures, including public calls in July 2026 to cancel recess. Thune and multiple GOP senators have declined, citing insufficient caucus support and precedent for preserving the tool against future minority obstruction. Limited procedural steps occurred in 2025 for nominations and budget scoring, but broader legislative changes have stalled amid these divisions. Midterm dynamics and upcoming fiscal deadlines could test discipline, though historical patterns favor incremental workarounds over a complete break.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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