**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano50 49.0%
51 31.0%
52 25%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn 8.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
1%
47
1%
48
<1%
49
3%
50
45%
51
31%
52
25%
53
1%
54
1%
55
2%
56
1%
57
<1%
58+
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
8%
50 49.0%
51 31.0%
52 25%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn 8.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 1, 2027
≤46
$187 Wol.
1%
47
$276 Wol.
1%
48
$268 Wol.
<1%
49
$471 Wol.
3%
50
$589 Wol.
45%
51
$775 Wol.
31%
52
$971 Wol.
25%
53
$301 Wol.
1%
54
$296 Wol.
1%
55
$363 Wol.
2%
56
$316 Wol.
1%
57
$320 Wol.
<1%
58+
$278 Wol.
3%
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$2,696 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,107Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,107Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Todd Blanche’s nomination as Attorney General, formally sent to the Senate on June 8 after he became acting AG in April, faces a narrow path to confirmation in a chamber with roughly 53 Republicans.** His prior 52–46 confirmation as deputy attorney general sets a baseline, yet several GOP senators on the Judiciary Committee are withholding support pending further assurances on issues including a disputed compensation fund and institutional independence. A July 15 hearing is scheduled, with committee advancement likely requiring near-unanimous Republican backing if Democrats oppose. Traders price 55 or 56 votes highest while assigning substantial probability to no vote or withdrawal by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether Blanche can consolidate enough Republican support to clear both committee and floor hurdles before procedural or political friction intervenes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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